Nine Big Emitters Would Pay Their Share Under ‘Hypothetical Climate Liability Regime’
The world’s big oil and mining companies emit vast amounts of climate-changing greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. By extension, the actions of these corporate giants stand accused of contributing to floods and droughts and other climate-related disasters around the globe, extremely costly in both human and financial terms.
Our suggestion, a “hypothetical climate liability regime”, is for the companies to become at least partially liable to pay for their destructive, climate-changing activities, write guest authors Dr. Quintin Rayer, Dr. Karsten Haustein, and Dr. Pete Walton in a post for Climate News Network.
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Investors should also be made aware of the risks involved in putting money into such enterprises, they add. Only then will a realistic market valuation of these companies be calculated.
Rayer, Haustein, and Walton examined nine top-emitting publicly-owned companies—all fossil fuel giants: Chevron, ExxonMobil, BP, Royal Dutch Shell, ConocoPhillips, and Total are all primarily involved in oil. While Peabody Energy is one of the world’s biggest coal conglomerates, BHP Billiton is a mining behemoth and CNX Resources is a large gas company.
In mid-2018 these nine companies had a combined market capitalization of US$1,358 billion on the world’s stock markets. In total the three authors estimate the companies’ cumulative emissions over an extended period of time have added up to 14.5% of total global emissions.
Analysing the occurrence of floods and droughts around the globe over a recent five-year period, it was calculated the costs totaled $265 billion.
If a liability regime was introduced, the nine companies above would stand to pay up to a 14.5% share of those costs—amounting to $38.4 billion, a figure representing 2.8% of their combined market worth.
Floods and droughts occurred before global warming, so only the additional intensity or frequency of flood and drought damages from company emissions matter for this purpose—an active area of research.
How much should fossil fuel users pay as a share of responsibility? Not all is down to the users, the authors say, but neither is all of it the responsibility of the producers. Even after allowing for both, they still suggest that 2.0% of their combined market worth might be a “fair” share.
If other impacts of global warming, such as hurricanes and sea level rise, were taken into account, these companies would have to contribute much larger sums to pay for the damage caused.
Our calculations are based only on historical emissions: we do not take into account the damage, both in human and financial terms, likely to be caused by the activities of the companies concerned as global warming intensifies.
More than 50 years ago it became clear that emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases were damaging the climate. The leading carbon producers could see their activities were harmful and that they had a responsibility to reduce the damage caused by capturing emissions or developing safe substitutes, such as carbon-free energy.
Instead, fossil fuel firms ignored their responsibilities, and promoted climate denial.
Public Pressure Grows
If these and other companies became liable for the damage caused by their emissions, investors could well think again before putting their money into such enterprises.
The City of New York is taking steps to remove fossil fuel companies from its US$189-billion pension fund portfolio. Other investment funds—both big and small—are following the New York pension fund lead in the face of mounting public pressure aimed at supporting more sustainable enterprises.
Investors are also becoming increasingly aware of the growing financial risks of investing in companies founded on the exploitation of fossil fuels.
The value of these conglomerates could rapidly decline if they became liable for their past emissions: new regulations aimed at tackling the climate crisis could result in corporate fossil fuel reserves being left in the ground as so-called stranded assets. − Climate News Network